Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Closes May 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$151
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
97% / 98%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
97%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
97% YES
Mar 17, 2026
Current
97% YES (-0.0pp recent)
Mar 17, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
+17.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?" at 97% YES / 3% NO. In the last 24 hours, $151 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 97%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on May 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 97%, NO 3%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/572859
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Venue Divergence
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