Markets/Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?

Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:27 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

67%YES

33%NO

Volume 24h

$17

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

64% / 70%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

67%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

69% YES

Mar 11, 2026

Trough probability

50% YES — lowest in period

Mar 13, 2026

Biggest move: +29.5pp

55% → 85%

Mar 17, 2026

Peak probability

87% YES — highest in period

Mar 17, 2026

Current

71% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Mar 19, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 67%99%

Buy YES@ 67¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 33¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?" at 67% YES / 33% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 67%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 67%, NO 33%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1560646