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Markets/Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
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Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?

Market Price

1%YES
99%NO

FM Estimate

1%
Vol 24h$34K
Liquidity$197K
ClosesApr 30, 2027
Why this mattersAI-synthesized

This market matters because Carole Delga's current 1% price suggests a negligible probability of her winning the 2027 French presidential election according to the prediction market. The surrounding election markets with 0% and 100% probabilities, while distinct events, highlight the diverse range of outcomes and confidence levels observed within event clusters.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets82 markets

82 deadline markets. Combined YES = 1207% — 1107pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2

Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 Fre

94%
Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 202

Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 Frenc

89%

Carole Delga

Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential electi

1%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+0.4pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $34K has been traded. The market closes on April 30, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/679046