Markets/Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:26 AM UTC

Closes September 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES

95%NO

Volume 24h

$26

Liquidity

$25K

Bid / Ask

5% / 6%

Spread

0.60pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

6% YES

Mar 12, 2026

Current

6% YES (-0.0pp recent)

Mar 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 5%99%

Buy YES@ 5¢

-6.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 95¢

Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly6.5%

½ Kelly3.3%

Buy NO—+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 6.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $26 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on September 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1088654

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