ForecastMind
Markets/Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
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Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Closes January 1, 2027

Polymarket Price

35%YES
65%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

34% / 41%

Spread

7.00pp

Expert Signal

35%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1175525

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Trough probability

40% YES — lowest in period

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: -9.0pp

49% → 40%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

41% YES (-3.5pp recent)

Apr 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 35%99%
Buy YES@ 35¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 65¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this