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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?
Share on X

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$30K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

0% / 1%

Spread

0.80pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+90.5pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $30K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1745806

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-19.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

24% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: -18.9pp

23% → 4%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

4% YES (-18.9pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.8%
½ Kelly2.4%
Buy NO—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this