Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?
Closed April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.6M
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
99% / 100%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.6M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1745805
This event has 5 active outcome markets. SC Freiburg: 100%, Crystal Palace FC: 98%, FC Porto: 24%.
Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
63% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: +33.0pp
63% → 96%
Apr 9, 2026
Current
96% YES (+33.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
+29.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this