Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1698760
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
11% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Current
4% YES (-0.9pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-6.3%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this