Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
5% / 7%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Mar 21, 2026
Current
6% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1542989
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