Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
19% / 19%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
11%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
10% YES
Mar 21, 2026
Current
19% YES (+0.3pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1542974
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