Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$15K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
96% / 96%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
96%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 96%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1698750
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
90% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Peak probability
96% YES — highest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Current
96% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
+6.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this