Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
11% / 19%
Spread
8.00pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/665275
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Current
14% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this