Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
54%YES
46%NO
Vol 24h$10K
Liquidity$6K
Bid / Ask52% / 55%
Spread3.00pp
ClosesDec 31, 2026
FM Estimate
51%Market Price
54%↑ Overpriced 2.4pp
Macro fundamentals-4.5pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
-1.0pp
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/665260