Markets/Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:33 AM UTC

Closes June 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

8%YES

92%NO

Volume 24h

$403

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

7% / 9%

Spread

2.40pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

9% YES

Mar 10, 2026

Current

9% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 8%99%

Buy YES@ 8¢

Edge

+3.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO@ 92¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+3.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $403 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 2.40 percentage points. The market closes on June 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1087763