Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Closes April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$41K
Bid / Ask
2% / 2%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1854219
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this