Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
5%YES
95%NO
Vol 24h$32K
Liquidity$10K
Bid / Ask5% / 6%
Spread0.10pp
ClosesApr 22, 2026
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
MarketFM Estimate
+1.4pp
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $32K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on April 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2015043