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Markets/Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?
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Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$103K

Bid / Ask

0% / 1%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

1%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?

March

Full event →
above $1,700 on March 21?
100%
above $1,600 on March 21?
100%
above $1,800 on March 21?
100%
above $2,000 on March 21?
100%
above $2,100 on March 21?
95%
$2,400 in March?
35%
$2,600 in March?
11%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
10%
above $2,200 on March 21?
7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?
5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?
2%
$2,800 in March?
2%
above $2,300 on March 21?
2%
$3,000 in March?
1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?
1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?
1%
$3,200 in March?
0%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?
0%
$3,400 in March?
0%
$3,600 in March?
0%
$4,000 in March?
0%
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
0%
$3,800 in March?
0%
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?
0%
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?
0%
above $2,400 on March 21?
0%
above $2,600 on March 21?
0%
above $2,500 on March 21?
0%

28 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-14.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

15% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Mar 18, 2026

Biggest move: -13.9pp

15% → 1%

Mar 1, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1473085

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