Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$81K
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
0.60pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786416
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?: 2%, Ethereum reach $2,300 March 30-April 5?: 1%, Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5?: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~96%.
Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
24% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -10.2pp
13% → 2%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
2% YES (-10.2pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-14.9%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this