Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
Closes April 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$349K
Liquidity
$2.9M
Bid / Ask
64% / 65%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
65%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?" at 65% YES / 35% NO. In the last 24 hours, $349K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 65%, NO 35%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1733042
This event has 6 active outcome markets. FC Barcelona: 65%, Paris Saint-Germain FC: 53%, Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U : 42%.
FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
65% YES
Apr 8, 2026
Current
65% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this