Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
Closed April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$51K
Liquidity
$67K
Bid / Ask
77% / 79%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
73%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?" at 73% YES / 27% NO. In the last 24 hours, $51K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 73%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 73%, NO 27%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1745427
This event has 3 active outcome markets. FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a dr: 73%, FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5: 7%, FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~20%.
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
31% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: +10.0pp
30% → 40%
Apr 9, 2026
Current
40% YES (+10.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this