Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?
Closed April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.1M
Liquidity
$70K
Bid / Ask
16% / 17%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1745426
This event has 5 active outcome markets. SC Freiburg: 100%, Crystal Palace FC: 99%, FC Porto: 19%.
FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
43% YES (-5.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this