Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?
Closed March 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$823K
Liquidity
$685K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
87% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: +7.0pp
93% → 100%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
100% YES (+7.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $823K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492115
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.