Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Closes December 31, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
49% / 51%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
27% YES
Feb 28, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
52%
Mar 9, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Mar 10, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
50%
Mar 11, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Mar 13, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 14, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Mar 19, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
50%
Mar 20, 2026
Biggest move: +14.0pp
39% → 53%
Mar 9, 2026
Peak probability
59% YES — highest in period
Mar 10, 2026
Current
50% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1021153
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.