Markets/Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC

Closes January 25, 2027

Polymarket Price

9%YES

92%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

8% / 9%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

9% YES

Mar 17, 2026

Current

8% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Mar 17, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 9%99%

Buy YES@ 9¢

Edge

+5.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 92¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+5.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 25, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1361088