Markets/Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:29 AM UTC

Closes September 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES

99%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

1% / 1%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.1pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Mar 13, 2026

Current

1% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on September 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1088491

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