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Markets/Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
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Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Closes December 19, 2026

Polymarket Price

21%YES
79%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

20% / 22%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

21%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

21% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

21% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 21%99%
Buy YES@ 21¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 79¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 19, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1349156