Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Market Price
FM Estimate
1%This market currently trades at 1%, reflecting extremely low conviction regarding Ivanka Trump's presidential prospects. The adjacent market's news, "Rubio's 2028 Momentum," and Tulsi Gabbard's substantial 62% chance of leaving the Trump administration before 2027, are notable given the cluster's focus on future political trajectories, yet the Ivanka Trump market remains indifferent.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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40 deadline markets. Combined YES = 107% — 7pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
Ivanka Trump
Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $34K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on November 7, 2028.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/561255