Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$149K
Liquidity
$409K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $149K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1499136
This event has 14 active outcome markets. Japan: 100%, Türkiye: 100%, Sweden: 100%.
Japan win on 2026-03-31?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
34% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: +49.0pp
51% → 100%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
100% YES (+49.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this