Markets/Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC

Closes September 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES

46%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$168

Bid / Ask

23% / 85%

Spread

62.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

26% YES

Mar 12, 2026

Current

26% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 54%99%

Buy YES@ 54¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 46¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?" at 54% YES / 46% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 62.00 percentage points. The market closes on September 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1327098