Markets/Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Data as of Mar 25, 2026, 03:42 AM UTC

Closes September 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES

56%NO

Volume 24h

$20K

Liquidity

$160

Bid / Ask

39% / 65%

Spread

26.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

34% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

31% YES (-5.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 45%99%

Buy YES@ 45¢

Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 55¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 26.00 percentage points. The market closes on September 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1327105

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