Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Market Price
FM Estimate
1%Juan Carlos Pinzón's 2026 Colombian presidential election odds are pegged at 0% on Polymarket, reflecting no discernible market expectation for his victory this week. This extremely low probability suggests that no significant recent news has emerged to shift sentiment, nor do broad market indicators like S&P 500 Futures, VIX, or DXY offer direct insights into this specific political outcome. The collective market intelligence indicates traders anticipate no path to victory for Pinzón in the upcoming election.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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36 deadline markets. Combined YES = 208% — 108pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
Juan Carlos Pinzón
Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidenti
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $429K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on June 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/569372