Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Market Price
FM Estimate
1%This market's 0% price indicates zero probability assigned to Kamala Harris winning the 2026 California Governor election, which is anomalous given her current political standing and the substantial fundraising potential associated with California gubernatorial races. This disconnect from typical political market dynamics warrants scrutiny, despite broader market indicators remaining largely stable.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election i
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/628956