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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
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Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$220K

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

1% / 1%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+21.2pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $220K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1770309

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5: 100%, Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5: 41%, Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5: 8%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-20.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

23% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: -22.9pp

26% → 3%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

3% YES (-22.9pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢
Edge

+21.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+21.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this