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Markets/Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Market Price

1%YES
99%NO

FM Estimate

1%
Vol 24h$27K
Liquidity$1.5M
Bid / Ask1% / 1%
Spread0.10pp
ClosesNov 7, 2028
Why this mattersAI-synthesized

Liz Cheney's 2028 Democratic presidential nomination odds remain a low 1% on Polymarket, with no movement this week. This stable, depressed price suggests significant skepticism among traders about her prospects for securing the nomination. The broader market's slight upward movement in S&P 500 futures and stable DXY do not offer immediate context for this specific political prediction market. Traders are collectively pricing in a highly improbable path for Cheney to become the Democratic nominee.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets71 markets

71 deadline markets. Combined YES = 227% — 127pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Democratic

Democratic win the Presidency in 2028

62%
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi

39%

Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi

1%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
-0.1pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on November 7, 2028.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/559678