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Markets/Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
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Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Closes April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$485K

Liquidity

$441K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $485K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1553282

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5: 100%, Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5: 100%, Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-20.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

23% YES

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: -22.6pp

25% → 2%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

2% YES (-22.6pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this