Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?
Closes April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.2M
Liquidity
$742K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1553281
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Manchester City FC: 100%, Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5): 100%, Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5): 100%.
Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
56% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Trough probability
50% YES — lowest in period
Apr 4, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 4, 2026
Biggest move: +48.4pp
50% → 98%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
98% YES (+48.4pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this