Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Closes April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$54K
Liquidity
$1.8M
Bid / Ask
22% / 23%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
23%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?" at 23% YES / 77% NO. In the last 24 hours, $54K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 23%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 23%, NO 77%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800039
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U: 81%, Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U: 57%, Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U: 35%.
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
22% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Current
23% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this