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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?
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Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?

Closed March 20, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$3.2M

Liquidity

$1.0M

Expert Signal

1%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-20?

2026

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-46.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Mar 20, 2026

Biggest move: -42.4pp

43% → 0%

Mar 20, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The market closes on March 20, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1520611