ForecastMind
Markets/Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Share on X

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Market Price

1%YES
99%NO

FM Estimate

1%
Vol 24h$13K
Liquidity$245K
Bid / Ask1% / 1%
Spread0.10pp
ClosesNov 7, 2028
Why this mattersAI-synthesized

Marjorie Taylor Greene's odds of securing the 2028 Republican presidential nomination remain at a scant 1% on Polymarket, unchanged this week, signaling a stark disconnect with potential future political developments. This extremely low price suggests traders anticipate negligible support for her nomination. The broader market sentiment, as indicated by S&P 500 futures trading higher and a lower VIX, does not appear to be factoring in any significant political volatility that would alter this perception.

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

✦ Unlock with Pro

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets4 markets

4 deadline markets. Market implies ~75% chance none resolve YES.

Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nom

21%
Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential no

2%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presi

1%

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+0.0pp
Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket1%anchor
PredictIt——

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on November 7, 2028.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/562004