Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Closes December 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$511
Liquidity
$42K
Bid / Ask
78% / 79%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
79%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
2026
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
79% YES
Mar 17, 2026
Current
79% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Mar 17, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?" at 79% YES / 21% NO. In the last 24 hours, $511 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 79%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 79%, NO 21%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/898660
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