Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Market Price
This market's 0% YES price reflects a near-zero probability assignment to Mustafa Hijri assuming the head of state position by the end of 2026, with no discernible market indicators suggesting otherwise. The consensus across related markets on military action also indicates a low probability of conflict extending into 2026, reinforcing the current pricing.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1469746