Markets/Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

9%YES

91%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$26K

Bid / Ask

8% / 10%

Spread

1.70pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

6% YES

Mar 12, 2026

Current

5% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 9%99%

Buy YES@ 9¢

-3.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 91¢

Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.7%

½ Kelly1.9%

Buy NO—+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? " at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 1.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? ." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1429745