Markets/Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:31 AM UTC

Closes January 25, 2027

Polymarket Price

9%YES

91%NO

Volume 24h

$119

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

8% / 9%

Spread

0.80pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

2027

Full event →

the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+1.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Mar 11, 2026

Current

3% YES (-0.3pp recent)

Mar 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 9%99%

Buy YES@ 9¢

Edge

+4.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO@ 91¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+4.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $119 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on January 25, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1361064