Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$412K
Liquidity
$23K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
24% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Current
17% YES (-5.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $412K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1543346
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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