Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4.1M
Liquidity
$29K
Expert Signal
79%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
2026
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
62% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: +17.0pp
63% → 80%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
80% YES (+17.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 79%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1543344
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Entity Hub
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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Full price history for your own analysis.