Markets/Will Paradex launch a token on March 29?

Will Paradex launch a token on March 29?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:26 AM UTC

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES

100%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

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Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Mar 5, 2026

Biggest move: -43.0pp

43% → 0%

Mar 5, 2026

Peak probability

43% YES — highest in period

Mar 5, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 5, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

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From date

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Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Paradex launch a token on March 29?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Paradex launch a token on March 29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1478919

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