Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Closes April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.2M
Liquidity
$2.2M
Bid / Ask
39% / 40%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
40%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818724
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 100%, Paris Saint-Germain FC: 37%.
Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
38% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Current
37% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this