Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
FM Estimate
35%Market Price
38%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Parti libéral du Québec: 38%, Coalition Avenir Québec: 8%, Parti conservateur du Québec: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~54%.
Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on October 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-17). "Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/789408