Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
Closes March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$641
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: -29.3pp
31% → 1%
Mar 26, 2026
Peak probability
33% YES — highest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Current
2% YES (+0.4pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692173
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Venue Divergence
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