Markets/Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:27 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES

49%NO

Volume 24h

$41

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

50% / 52%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+11.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

38% YES

Feb 28, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 1, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 2, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 12, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 18, 2026

Biggest move: -10.5pp

51% → 40%

Mar 2, 2026

Peak probability

52% YES — highest in period

Mar 1, 2026

Current

50% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 19, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 51%99%

Buy YES@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $41 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/694941